Analysis

Howard Marks doesn’t place much weight in macro forecasts, but has helpfully provided one of his own for the years to come. In his view, nearly everything that used to work won’t work now.

Stung by the harsh correction in the US equity market, sovereign wealth funds are looking further afield. And they’re beginning to question whether the pace of their private markets investing can be maintained.

The only reason private equity hasn’t suffered as much in this downturn is the discretion that sponsors have over its valuation. That’s going to change – and so is investors’ willingness to believe the impossible.

After a damaging year, the “massive technical headwinds” for emerging market debt are easing. And the biggest opportunities might be the smallest parts of the benchmark.

While hopes of a ‘soft landing’ abound, global pension funds are a little more cynical. A stagflationary environment is not just possible, but likely, and hedging against it will be a herculean task.

Entrenched inflation will likely last longer and prove harder to stamp out than most investors acknowledge, according to a new analysis from quant shop Research Affiliates.

As the world’s top 100 asset managers grow to awesome size, they’re confronted by a “complex and uncertain” macro environment and need to prepare for the burgeoning systemic risks of climate change.

The war on ESG rages anew after a rollercoaster 2022, but its detractors won’t win the fight. And as ESG matures, the future of passive index-tracking strategies is shaky.

While inflation, rates and the US dollar are peaking, we’re not quite there yet. Dutch quant house Robeco is tipping better returns for investors in 2023 but only after markets tumble further over the coming months.

In his latest investment missive, Howard Marks pushes back on the controversy around private markets, saying valuations shouldn’t reflect the psychological swings that dominate public markets.

Sovereign wealth funds have hit pause on their internalisation programs as they discover that they aren’t naturals at private markets investing. And inflation and geopolitics are driving allocations to a broad range of alternative assets.

TCorp has seen “sound” performance across its diversified portfolios, but is gearing up for more volatility through 2023 and burnishing its sustainable credentials by reducing portfolio carbon intensity.