Germany’s fiscal expansion may boost economic growth in the long term The ambiguity surrounding US tariffs and their implementation is raising fears among businesses and consumers that could weigh on economic growth over the medium to long term, while having a temporary effect on inflation. Combining this uncertainty with the high valuations in US stocks and the fiscal announcements outside the US, has resulted in the divergence in performances between the US, European and Chinese equities. Amundi presents its latest Global Investment Views.
The ASIC report into death benefit claims revealing the devastating impact of poor industry practices on grieving Australians has again highlighted the pressing need for change. While some funds have taken up the cudgels, others are still playing hardball on improving their service offering.
Franklin Templeton: Fixed Income Views
Since our last publication, we have upgraded our view on both the US and euro area (EA) economies, and we are no longer projecting a technical recession in the former. Where we break from market consensus is in our view on the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed’s) path to monetary policy normalization. The market appears to be confident in the Fed’s ability to orchestrate a “soft landing” that would allow the Fed to cut interest rates throughout next year. We feel the trajectory of disinflation in both the United States and EA will flatten—and central banks are thus likely to keep rates higher for longer.
Spreads in fixed income sectors are pricing in a quite sanguine environment, with levels leaning toward long-term averages, much tighter than previous periods of stress. We retain the view that both active portfolio management and superior security selection will be the main drivers of returns for investors.
