Home / Deeper Thought / Global Fixed Income Bulletin: Is the Tide Turning?

Global Fixed Income Bulletin: Is the Tide Turning?

After the woes of March, investors were gifted with a relatively mellow month in April. Markets were caught between two narratives over the month.
Deeper Thought

The first was robust job growth and sticky core inflation due to the pressures from elevated service inflation. The second was concern around economic weakness from the fallout from First Republic and regional bank deposit runs with the potential for a credit crunch.

Volatility fell, with interest rate volatility retracing back to February levels and the VIX trading below 16 to end the month.1 Developed market (DM) rates were mixed, with yields largely moving sideways in most economies. DM central banks continued with their rate hikes but made clear they were approaching the end of their hiking cycles, and that further hikes would be data dependent (again, moving further away from their previous rhetoric of forward guidance). Japan was the outlier, and continued with their dovish agenda. Central Bankers during their meetings in Washington D.C. also made clear that inflation was higher than any of them would like and that they expected to keep rates higher for longer. 

Morgan Stanley




  • Print Article

    Related
    Wagging the dog: Why US Treasuries may no longer be a haven

    Perhaps the assumption that markets are still anchored by predictable economic policies needs to be challenged. For the first time since the fall of the Berlin Wall, political volatility – once background noise – is potentially reshaping investment risk at a structural level.

    Rob Prugue | 24th Apr 2025 | More
    Amundi: The fiscal lever returns in an uncertain global order

    Germany’s fiscal expansion may boost economic growth in the long term The ambiguity surrounding US tariffs and their implementation is raising fears among businesses and consumers that could weigh on economic growth over the medium to long term, while having a temporary effect on inflation. Combining this uncertainty with the high valuations in US stocks and the fiscal announcements outside the US, has resulted in the divergence in performances between the US, European and Chinese equities. Amundi presents its latest Global Investment Views.

    Investor Strategy News | 8th Apr 2025 | More
    Does tax deductibility increase retirement saving?

    French tax reform boosted retirement savings, with higher-income, older workers contributing more after the 2019 Loi Pacte introduced pre-tax incentives, according to an Amundi white paper analysing 1.4 million workers.

    Investor Strategy News | 14th Mar 2025 | More
    Popular