Perhaps the assumption that markets are still anchored by predictable economic policies needs to be challenged. For the first time since the fall of the Berlin Wall, political volatility – once background noise – is potentially reshaping investment risk at a structural level.
Despite authorities taking their foot off the environmental, social and governance pedal and recent volatility in equities and bonds, the benefits of Artificial Intelligence and improved investor transparency are just beginning.
Home / Deeper Thought / 2024 US elections: Macro, geopolitical and investment perspectives
2024 US elections: Macro, geopolitical and investment perspectives
US political shifts are set to shape market sentiment, with Amundi predicting significant moves in equities, emerging markets and inflation as tax and policy changes take effect.”.
Germany’s fiscal expansion may boost economic growth in the long term The ambiguity surrounding US tariffs and their implementation is raising fears among businesses and consumers that could weigh on economic growth over the medium to long term, while having a temporary effect on inflation. Combining this uncertainty with the high valuations in US stocks and the fiscal announcements outside the US, has resulted in the divergence in performances between the US, European and Chinese equities. Amundi presents its latest Global Investment Views.
French tax reform boosted retirement savings, with higher-income, older workers contributing more after the 2019 Loi Pacte introduced pre-tax incentives, according to an Amundi white paper analysing 1.4 million workers.
With uncertainty looming from Trump tariffs to the impact of DeepSeek on AI, Amundi is focussing on global equity opportunities, diversifying with gold and maintaining a tactical approach to duration.