Home / Deeper Thought / China in transition presents new opportunities for investors: Franklin Templeton

China in transition presents new opportunities for investors: Franklin Templeton

Deeper Thought

For most of the past 40 years, investors, policymakers and interested observers have become used to the idea of China as a fast-growing, emergent economy, well on its way to achieving middle-income status, with every hope of continuing along a path of resounding economic success. Recently, however, a different story has surfaced. This one portrays China as stumbling badly, weighed down by long-term challenges related to excess debt and investment, an aging population, the end of globalisation, and the adoption of policies inside and outside China that may frighten off investment and consumption.

In a new paper uncovering China, Christy Tan, Investment Strategist at the Franklin Templeton Institute says “In our view, the truth about China is neither as optimistic as some had earlier believed, nor as pessimistic as is currently fashionable. Rather, the central narrative is one of China in transition. China is shifting from an economy underpinned by extraordinarily high and probably unsustainable rates of savings, investment and debt accumulation to something else.”

Franklin Templeton




  • Print Article

    Related
    Amundi: The fiscal lever returns in an uncertain global order

    Germany’s fiscal expansion may boost economic growth in the long term The ambiguity surrounding US tariffs and their implementation is raising fears among businesses and consumers that could weigh on economic growth over the medium to long term, while having a temporary effect on inflation. Combining this uncertainty with the high valuations in US stocks and the fiscal announcements outside the US, has resulted in the divergence in performances between the US, European and Chinese equities. Amundi presents its latest Global Investment Views.

    Investor Strategy News | 8th Apr 2025 | More
    Does tax deductibility increase retirement saving?

    French tax reform boosted retirement savings, with higher-income, older workers contributing more after the 2019 Loi Pacte introduced pre-tax incentives, according to an Amundi white paper analysing 1.4 million workers.

    Investor Strategy News | 14th Mar 2025 | More
    What Trump 2.0 means for the economy and markets

    With uncertainty looming from Trump tariffs to the impact of DeepSeek on AI, Amundi is focussing on global equity opportunities, diversifying with gold and maintaining a tactical approach to duration.

    Lachlan Maddock | 13th Feb 2025 | More
    Popular