Debt sustainability in emerging markets
Global financial markets have been subjected to multiple shocks over the past three years: the COVID pandemic; the end of quantitative easing, with the subsequent tightening of liquidity; the Russia-Ukraine war; and more recently, the unrest in the Middle East. For emerging markets, these developments have had implications for sovereign balance sheets, as well as fiscal policy, and, in many cases, have raised external vulnerabilities. In this paper, the Franklin Templeton Fixed Income group analyses the International Monetary Fund’s Debt Sustainability Framework, in terms of its inputs, outputs and shortcomings.