Home / News / Funds ring in the new year with robust (calendar) returns

Funds ring in the new year with robust (calendar) returns

A rally in risk in the waning months of 2023 has pushed super fund returns into strongly positive territory, but some funds don’t want to count their chickens before they hatch.
News

The median balanced fund is expected to return around 9.6 per cent for calendar 2023, according to research house SuperRatings, propelled mostly by the massive rally in the domestic and international share markets towards the end of the year. But while SuperRatings chief Kirby Rappel called the result “pleasing”, he noted that it came in spite of a year where nearly half of monthly returns were negative.

“We saw a strong rebound this year following the negative return in 2022, highlighting the difficulty in timing markets and supporting our focus on long-term performance,” Rappel said. “The 2022 negative returns reminded members and super funds of the need to think about risk and despite the positive return story in 2023, the elevated levels of volatility over the year mean risk remains a key consideration when responding to market movements.”

Health worker super fund HESTA delivered a 10.46 per cent return for calendar 2023, with CEO Debby Blakey saying that the result indicates its investment portfolio is “well-positioned for years to come”.

  • “But challenging investment conditions lie ahead, especially as the real economy and so many of our members continue to feel the impacts from rising interest rates, high inflation and significant volatility,” Blakey said.

    “Our focus is on staying agile so we can respond to market ups and downs. We’re poised to take advantage of any short-term volatility that may emerge. We’ve reduced our exposure to some risk assets while continuing to build liquidity that helps ensure we’re ready to take advantage of attractive long-term buying opportunities.”

    Meanwhile, Rest returned 9.58 per cent for members in its default Core strategy, with returns of 11.58 per cent and 10.37 per cent in its high growth and sustainable growth options respectively. CIO Andrew Lill said the results were an “optimistic” conclusion to the year but noted that markets were still pricing a rapid return to the low inflation, low cash rate environment of the 2010s.

    “That decade was highly unusual compared to the preceding 100 years. We’ve also seen past instances of inflation rebounding after signs of moderation,” Lill said.

    “It’s likely we are heading into a period of higher structural inflation, as well as greater macroeconomic volatility, than we’ve experienced in recent times. We are focused on five megatrends impacting society and markets that, on balance, we expect to be inflationary. Investors will need to be very selective in this environment and we are focusing on assets that are well placed to benefit from these megatrends.”

    Staff Writer




    Print Article

    Related
    New Zealand Superannuation Fund appoints co-CIOs

    With its former CIO off to CalPERS, the Guardians of New Zealand Superannuation has taken the opportunity to review its investment team structure and appoint co-CIOs.

    Staff Writer | 23rd Oct 2024 | More
    Cliff Asness: Markets are getting crazier – and more rewarding

    AQR co-founder and CIO Cliff Asness talks to ISN about how social media might be making markets less efficient, the cloak and dagger world of alternative data, and why using machine learning means having to “let go of some things you cherish”.

    Lachlan Maddock | 18th Oct 2024 | More
    The data must flow: AussieSuper bets big on DataBank

    The $341 billion AustralianSuper has taken a significant stake in US-based DataBank to catch the AI and digitalisation waves that pension funds all around the world are trying to surf.

    Staff Writer | 18th Oct 2024 | More
    Popular